Sunday, December 13, 2009

Golden Globe Predictions

Two Golden Globes at once!? These predictions can't see that happening two years in a row...

Best Motion Picture - Drama
The Hurt Locker
Inglourious Basterds
Up in the Air

I'm sticking with these.
Invictus seems to be their ticket to a historical prestige pic, and Up in the Air and Inglourious Basterds have the stars that the Golden Globes love to have come to their ceremony. Precious and The Hurt Locker seem to be the critical darlings that they will love to honor. I don't think The Last Station will make it, and Avatar has just started screening, so I can't imagine it making it here.

Best Motion Picture - Musical/Comedy
(500) Days of Summer
In the Loop
Julie & Julia

A Serious Man

Either Sherlock Holmes, It's Complicated, or The Proposal could sneak in here. But if Happy-Go-Lucky could sneak in then why can't In the Loop? Otherwise, I'm fairly confident here. Look for Nine to win come January.

Best Actress - Drama
Sandra Bullock- The Blind Side
Abbie Cornish- Bright Star
Helen Mirren- The Last Station
Carey Mulligan- An Education
Gabourey Sidibe- Precious

These acting categories is where I expect The Last Station to pick up its nods. Hilary Swank could get in here, but I don't think so given the general hate for Amelia. I'm hoping that Cornish gets recognized here. If not, it's probably the beginning of the end for her and Bright Star.

Best Actor - Drama
Jeff Bridges- Crazy Heart
George Clooney- Up in the Air
Johnny Depp- Public Enemies
Colin Firth- A Single Man
Morgan Freeman- Invictus

Yes, the Globes certainly do have a thing for Johnny Depp. He has eight nominations and a big biopic out this year should raise that tally to nine. Jeremy Renner is a close sixth, but I can't see him breaking in here. The only other upset I can think of is Viggo Mortensen for The Road.

Best Actress - Musical/Comedy
Marion Cotillard- Nine
Zooey Deschanel- (500) Days of Summer
Michelle Pfeiffer- Cheri
Meryl Streep- It's Complicated
Meryl Streep- Julie & Julia

A double nod for Streep seems to be the surest thing since Slumdog Millionaire winning Best Picture earlier this year. Pfeiffer seems to be an iffy choice, but I'm confident she can land a nod. Who else is there? Sure, she's been losing steam, but people haven't forgotten. (Or have they?)

Best Actor- Musical/Comedy
Matt Damon- The Informant!
Daniel Day-Lewis- Nine
Robert Downey Jr.- Sherlock Holmes
Joseph Gordon Levitt- (500) Days of Summer
Michael Stuhlbarg- A Serious Man
The only one who isn't a sure lock is Stuhlbarg. Bradley Cooper could get in there, or Alec Baldwin should the Globes promote him to a leading category. But I don't really think that The Hangover guys can get in here.

Best Supporting Actress
Penelope Cruz- Nine
Vera Farmiga- Up in the Air
Anna Kendrick- Up in the Air
Mo'Nique- Precious
Julianne Moore- A Single Man

This will probably be one of the few times Vera Farmiga gets any attention this awards season. Sorry to the other Nine ladies, but this is category is pretty packed. It'd be tough to break through.

Best Supporting Actor
Matt Damon- Invictus
Woody Harrelson- The Messenger
Jude Law- Sherlock Holmes
Christopher Plummer- The Last Station
Christoph Waltz- Inglourious Basterds

This one's tricky. Alfred Molina looked like he was definitely headed to Oscar, and he still could be, but the Globes might not go for him. Jude Law probably has you shaking your head, but the Globes love big stars and the supporting category is where they choose to honor stars for triumphant comebacks in supporting roles (Ben Affleck for Hollywoodland, John Travolta in Hairspray, or Tom Cruise in Tropic Thunder). As you can see, it also helps if your in a funny movie, which Sherlock Holmes just happens to be.

Best Director

Kathryn Bigelow
Clint Eastwood
Rob Marshall
Jason Reitman
Quentin Tarantino

Sorry James Cameron, but I just don't see Avatar getting major nominations until later in the awards season. This is exactly why December shouldn't be the go-to month for release for Oscar-hopefuls. Lee Daniels or Nora Ephron have a very, very slight chance of getting nominated here if you ask me, but they don't seem like they can beat this stiff competition.


  1. I don't think The Last Station is going to do very's getting bad reviews already.

  2. Sage- That could definitely factor in. But more to the SAGs and Oscars than the Globes. The Globes are kind of weird... hahaha.

  3. I don't think Anna Kendrick should be nominated for anything. She was not that good in Up in the Air.

  4. Tom- I haven't seen Up in the Air yet, and I plan to it soon. Then I'll pass judgment!